Fognini - Nadal: can Fabio win the set against Rafa?

Fabio Fognini - Rafael Nadal. ATP Australian Open Prediction (15 February 2021)

14/02/2021

Fabio Fognini

Fabio Fognini

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15/02/21 05:00 CET
Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal

W W W W L
Place Melbourne-Park (Melbourne)
Fognini vs Nadal tennis match forecast

Fabio Fognini will play with Rafael Nadal in the 1/8 finals Australian Open on 15 February. Will the Italian tennis player be able to win at least a set against the eminent Spaniard? - read our forecast.

Fabio Fognini

Fognini never ceases to amaze from year to year. He could lose to little-known Dennis Novak (3-6, 2-6), but then take over Pablo Carreno-Busto (6-2, 1-6, 6-4). This situation occurred on the eve of the Australian Open at the ATP Cup team competition.

In the Australian Major itself, the Italian beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in three games (6-4, 6-2, 6-3) in the first round. Then he played a five-set duel with Salvatore Caruso (4-6, 6-2, 2-6, 6-3, 7-6). And then he dealt quite confidently with the host of the tournament Alex De Minaur (6-4, 6-3, 6-4) in three sets.

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Rafael Nadal

Nadal has not experienced any problems in any match at the Australian Open so far. The eminent Spaniard closed all three fights in three games. Rafa beat Laslo Djere (6-3, 6-4, 6-1) in the first round, the deluge examined the young American Michael Mmoh (6-1, 6-4, 6-2), but in the third round, he beat Cameron Norrie (7-5, 6-2, 7-5).

It is worth recalling that on the eve of Australian Open, Nadal was supposed to play for the Spanish national team in the ATP Cup, but at those competitions, Rafa did not play a single fight due to problems with his lower back, which can make itself felt at any time at AO.

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Statistics

  • In personal meetings, Nadal is leading with a score of 12-4.
  • Fognini has won six victories in nine matches on hard this season.
  • Nadal has won all four matches on hard this season.

Our Prediction

Nadal confidently leads in personal meetings with Fognini with a score of 12-4. The Spanish tennis player has beaten Fabio six times in seven games on hard. We expect that in the upcoming meeting, Nadal will add another victory over the Italian to his asset, but we doubt that it will be easy.

Still, the Spaniard is not ideal on hard, and Fognini is now in great shape. So we expect the Italian to win at least a set in the upcoming meeting.

Our prediction is that Fognini will win with a handicap (+6.5) of the set with the odds of 2.09 on 1xbet.


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